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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?
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Yes
53%
No
47%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?
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Yes
23%
No
77%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
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Yes
9%
No
91%
NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?
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Yes
49%
No
51%
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?
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Yes
69%
No
31%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?
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Yes
41%
No
59%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?
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Yes
92%
No
8%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
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Yes
52%
No
48%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
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Yes
34%
No
66%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
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Yes
96%
No
4%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
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Yes
33%
No
67%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
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Yes
24%
No
76%
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
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Yes
30%
No
70%
Iran blockade lifted before US x Iran ceasefire ends?
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Yes
24%
No
76%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?
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Yes
3%
No
97%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
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Yes
99.8%
No
0.2%
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?
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Yes
1%
No
99%
Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 8–12%?
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Yes
0.1%
No
99.9%
Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%?
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Yes
0.1%
No
99.9%
Will Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
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Yes
63%
No
37%
Will neither Gabriel Attal nor Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
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Yes
18%
No
82%
Will Gabriel Attal, but not Édouard Philippe, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
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Yes
18%
No
82%
Will both Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
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Yes
8%
No
92%
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
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Yes
27%
No
73%
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?
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Yes
0.1%
No
99.9%
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the December 2026 meeting?
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Yes
2%
No
98%
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?
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Yes
92%
No
8%
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?
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Yes
0.1%
No
99.9%
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?
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Yes
20%
No
80%
Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
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Yes
6%
No
94%
Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?
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Yes
55%
No
45%
Will J.D. Vance be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028?
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Yes
30%
No
70%
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?
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Yes
6%
No
94%
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
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Yes
4%
No
96%
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
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Yes
26%
No
74%
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
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Yes
0%
No
100%
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%?
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Yes
20%
No
80%
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 9%-12%?
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Yes
0.6%
No
99.4%
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 3%-6%?
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Yes
7%
No
93%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
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Yes
24%
No
76%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
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Yes
33%
No
67%
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?
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Yes
18%
No
82%
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
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Yes
30%
No
70%
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
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Yes
25%
No
75%
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